Lorenzo Musetti vs. Taylor Fritz
Live prediction market odds for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Taylor Fritz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Traders give Taylor Fritz about a 59.5% chance. Lorenzo Musetti follows at 40.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.2 percentage points.
KalshiPolymarket USNovigPolymarketProphetXOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX and Underdog.
KalshiIf Taylor Fritz wins the Fritz vs Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Stockholm Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Fritz vs Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Stockholm Semifinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigTaylor Fritz in Lorenzo Musetti @ Taylor Fritz Semifinals (ATP); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Lorenzo Musetti in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti ATP match scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If a player retires or is disqualified during the match, the market will settle to the official winner of the match. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from ATP.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
UnderdogWQF2 vs Fritz Moneyline (vs Taylor Fritz): Taylor Fritz to win in Fritz vs Musetti; settled by Underdog.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Taylor Fritz: 59.5¢ on Kalshi, 59.5¢ on Polymarket, 59.7¢ on ProphetX, 59.5¢ on Polymarket US, 59.5¢ on Novig; Lorenzo Musetti: 40.5¢ on Kalshi, 40.5¢ on Polymarket, 40.3¢ on ProphetX, 40.5¢ on Polymarket US, 40.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Taylor Fritz at 59.5¢ implies about a 59.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
