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Live prediction market odds for Lorenzo Sonego vs. Jenson Brooksby. Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket

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Lorenzo Sonego vs. Jenson Brooksby

ATP·2026-09-25

Best price · tap to trade

Jenson Brooksby53¢1.89xNovigLorenzo Sonego17¢5.88xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Jenson Brooksby about a 71.7% chance. Lorenzo Sonego follows at 28.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 31.5 percentage points.

Traders give Jenson Brooksby about a 71.7% chance. Lorenzo Sonego follows at 28.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 31.5 percentage points.

Lorenzo Sonego vs. Jenson Brooksby: ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-09-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
NovigNovig
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JB
Jenson BrooksbyARB
71%
Kalshi83¢
Novig53¢
Polymarket80¢
Novig1.90x53¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
82.0%81¢83¢17¢19¢
NovigNovig
52.0%51¢53¢47¢49¢
PolymarketPolymarket
79.0%78¢80¢20¢22¢
LS
Lorenzo SonegoARB
28%
Kalshi17¢
Novig49¢
Polymarket20¢
Kalshi5.88x17¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%15¢17¢83¢85¢
NovigNovig
48.0%47¢49¢51¢53¢
PolymarketPolymarket
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
KalshiKalshiNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarket

Spread

Best price
Brooksby -1.5
Kalshi75¢
Polymarket71¢
Kalshi1.34x75¢
Sonego +1.5
Kalshi25¢
Polymarket53¢
Polymarket1.89x53¢

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Totals

Best price
O 23.5
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket99¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
U 23.5
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket57¢
Polymarket1.75x57¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread31.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Jenson Brooksby

71.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Lorenzo Sonego vs. Jenson Brooksby

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jenson Brooksby wins the Brooksby vs Sonego professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Chengdu Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Brooksby vs Sonego professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Chengdu Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Jenson Brooksby in Lorenzo Sonego @ Jenson Brooksby Round of 16 (ATP); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Lorenzo Sonego in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jenson Brooksby' if Jenson Brooksby advances against Lorenzo Sonego. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Jenson Brooksby. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Lorenzo Sonego vs. Jenson Brooksby prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Lorenzo Sonego vs. Jenson Brooksby odds?

The latest available prices are Jenson Brooksby: 82.5¢ on Kalshi, 80.0¢ on Polymarket, 52.5¢ on Novig; Lorenzo Sonego: 17.0¢ on Kalshi, 20.0¢ on Polymarket, 48.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Lorenzo Sonego vs. Jenson Brooksby odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 31.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Lorenzo Sonego vs. Jenson Brooksby prediction market payouts work?

For example, Jenson Brooksby at 71.7¢ implies about a 71.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Trader up $2.8M lifetime bet $824 on Jenson Brooksby at 93¢

3d ago
PolymarketKalshiChengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo SonegoTrade on Kalshi →

Trader up $2.8M lifetime bet $669 on Jenson Brooksby at 92¢

3d ago
PolymarketKalshiChengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo SonegoTrade on Kalshi →

Trader up $2.8M lifetime bet $1.5K on Jenson Brooksby at 92¢

3d ago
PolymarketKalshiChengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo SonegoTrade on Kalshi →

Trader up $2.8M lifetime bet $1.5K on Jenson Brooksby at 92¢

3d ago
PolymarketKalshiChengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo SonegoTrade on Kalshi →

Trader up $305K lifetime bet $514 on Jenson Brooksby at 89¢

3d ago
PolymarketKalshiChengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo SonegoTrade on Kalshi →