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Live prediction market odds for Marin Cilic vs. Daniel Merida. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Marin Cilic vs. Daniel Merida

ATP·2026-08-13

Best price · tap to trade

Daniel Merida52¢1.92xPolymarket USMarin Cilic48¢2.08xProphetX
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 28

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Daniel Merida about a 53.7% chance. Marin Cilic follows at 47.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Traders give Daniel Merida about a 53.7% chance. Marin Cilic follows at 47.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Marin Cilic vs. Daniel Merida — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-08-13. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
DM
Daniel Merida
53%
Kalshi54¢
Polymarket US52¢
Polymarket54¢
ProphetX55¢
Polymarket US1.92x52¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
53.0%52¢54¢46¢48¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
51.0%50¢52¢48¢50¢
PolymarketPolymarket
53.0%52¢54¢46¢48¢
ProphetXProphetX
54.0%53¢55¢45¢47¢
MC
Marin Cilic
47%
Kalshi48¢
Polymarket US48¢
Polymarket46¢
ProphetX48¢
ProphetX2.09x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
47.0%46¢48¢52¢54¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
47.0%46¢48¢52¢54¢
PolymarketPolymarket
45.0%44¢46¢54¢56¢
ProphetXProphetX
47.0%46¢48¢52¢54¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.6%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Daniel Merida

53.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Marin Cilic vs. Daniel Merida

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Marin Cilic wins the Merida vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Merida vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Marin Cilic in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic ATP match scheduled for August 13 at 11:00AM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from ATP.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Marin Cilic vs. Daniel Merida prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Marin Cilic vs. Daniel Merida odds?

The latest available prices are Daniel Merida: 54.0¢ on Kalshi, 54.0¢ on Polymarket, 54.6¢ on ProphetX, 52.0¢ on Polymarket US; Marin Cilic: 48.0¢ on Kalshi, 46.0¢ on Polymarket, 47.9¢ on ProphetX, 48.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Marin Cilic vs. Daniel Merida odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.6 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Marin Cilic vs. Daniel Merida prediction market payouts work?

For example, Daniel Merida at 53.7¢ implies about a 53.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

No price history available