About This Market
Matteo Arnaldi vs.
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Bernard Tomic: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-10-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Bernard Tomic
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Bernard Tomic
Live prediction market odds for Matteo Arnaldi vs. Bernard Tomic. Compare prices across .
ATP Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Oct 8, 2026. Matteo Arnaldi was the officially declared outcome.
Matteo Arnaldi vs.
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Bernard Tomic: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-10-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Matteo ArnaldiWINNER | Yes |
Bernard Tomic | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Matteo Arnaldi wins the Tomic vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tomic vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigMatteo Arnaldi in Matteo Arnaldi @ Bernard Tomic Round of 128 (ATP); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Bernard Tomic and Matteo Arnaldi in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Bernard Tomic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
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For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.