About This Market
Matteo Arnaldi vs.
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Luciano Darderi: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-10-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Luciano Darderi
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Luciano Darderi
Live prediction market odds for Matteo Arnaldi vs. Luciano Darderi. Compare prices across .
ATP Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Oct 26, 2026. Luciano Darderi was the officially declared outcome.
Matteo Arnaldi vs.
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Luciano Darderi: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-10-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Luciano DarderiWINNER | Yes |
Matteo Arnaldi | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Luciano Darderi wins the Darderi vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Darderi vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigLuciano Darderi in Matteo Arnaldi @ Luciano Darderi Round of 32 (ATP); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Matteo Arnaldi in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
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For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.