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Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev

ATP·2026-10-04

Best price · tap to trade

Alexander Zverev72¢1.39x

Novak Djokovic29¢3.45x

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market Prices Compare Fees Before You Trade New to Polymarket?

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus

Best price

Alexander Zverev

72%

72¢

1.39x72¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	71.5%	71¢	72¢	28¢	29¢
Polymarket US	71.0%	71¢	72¢	28¢	29¢
Novig	72.0%	70¢	72¢	28¢	30¢
Polymarket	71.5%	71¢	72¢	28¢	29¢
ProphetX	71.8%	69¢	72¢	28¢	31¢

Novak Djokovic

29%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	28.5%	28¢	29¢	71¢	72¢
Polymarket US	29.0%	28¢	29¢	71¢	72¢
Novig	29.5%	28¢	30¢	71¢	72¢
Polymarket	28.5%	28¢	29¢	71¢	72¢
ProphetX	30.8%	28¢	31¢	69¢	72¢

Kalshi

Polymarket US Novig

Novig

Polymarket

ProphetX

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Alexander Zverev wins the Zverev vs Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Zverev vs Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Alexander Zverev in Novak Djokovic @ Alexander Zverev Quarterfinals (ATP); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Novak Djokovic. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic ATP match scheduled for October 4 at 7:00AM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from ATP.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev odds?

The latest available prices are Alexander Zverev: 71.5¢ on Kalshi, 71.5¢ on Polymarket, 71.8¢ on ProphetX, 71.0¢ on Polymarket US, 72.0¢ on Novig; Novak Djokovic: 28.5¢ on Kalshi, 28.5¢ on Polymarket, 30.8¢ on ProphetX, 29.0¢ on Polymarket US, 29.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev prediction market payouts work?

For example, Alexander Zverev at 71.6¢ implies about a 71.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev

Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev

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About This Market

Price History

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Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev

Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev

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About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev

Frequently Asked Questions