Traders give Paris Saint-Germain about a 90.0% chance. Marseille follows at 2.0%, Lille follows at 2.0%, and Paris FC follows at 1.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.9 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Ligue 1 Champion
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Predict.fun.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Angers is the 2026-2027 Ligue 1 champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
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This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What factors influence the odds for Ligue 1 Champion?
Team performance, player injuries, and managerial changes significantly affect the odds. Additionally, historical performance and head-to-head matchups play a crucial role.
How does winning Ligue 1 impact a club financially?
Winning Ligue 1 can lead to increased revenue from broadcasting rights, sponsorships, and ticket sales. Additionally, it secures a spot in prestigious European competitions, further boosting financial prospects.
When does the Ligue 1 season typically start and end?
The Ligue 1 season usually begins in August and concludes in May of the following year. This schedule allows for a full season of competitive matches leading up to the championship.
What does the Ligue 1 Champion prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Ligue 1 Champion odds?
The latest available prices are Paris Saint-Germain: 89.5¢ on Kalshi, 90.5¢ on Polymarket, 85.6¢ on Predict.fun; Marseille: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.1¢ on Polymarket, 1.3¢ on Predict.fun; Lille: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.0¢ on Polymarket, 1.9¢ on Predict.fun; Paris FC: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.9¢ on Polymarket, 0.2¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.