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Live prediction market odds for Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Adrian Mannarino. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Adrian Mannarino

ATP·2026-09-29

Best price · tap to trade

Pablo Carreno Busta62¢1.61xKalshiAdrian Mannarino40¢2.50xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Pablo Carreno Busta about a 61.5% chance. Adrian Mannarino follows at 39.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Traders give Pablo Carreno Busta about a 61.5% chance. Adrian Mannarino follows at 39.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Adrian Mannarino: ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-09-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 26

Final odds
Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
PC
Pablo Carreno Busta
62%
Kalshi62¢
Polymarket62¢
Kalshi1.61x62¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
62.0%61¢62¢38¢39¢
PolymarketPolymarket
61.0%61¢62¢38¢39¢
AM
Adrian Mannarino
40%
Kalshi40¢
Polymarket39¢
Kalshi2.50x40¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
40.0%39¢40¢60¢61¢
PolymarketPolymarket
39.0%38¢39¢61¢62¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Pablo Carreno Busta

61.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Adrian Mannarino

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Adrian Mannarino wins the Mannarino vs Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Mannarino vs Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Adrian Mannarino prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Adrian Mannarino odds?

The latest available prices are Pablo Carreno Busta: 62.0¢ on Kalshi, 61.0¢ on Polymarket; Adrian Mannarino: 40.0¢ on Kalshi, 39.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Adrian Mannarino odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Adrian Mannarino prediction market payouts work?

For example, Pablo Carreno Busta at 61.5¢ implies about a 61.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.