Kalshi

4.9

Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

Mariano Navone Wins: Raphael Collignon vs. Mariano Navone

ATP·Resolved 2026-08-13

This market resolved on 2026-08-13. Mariano Navone was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Raphael Collignon vs.

Raphael Collignon vs. Mariano Navone — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-08-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market Prices Compare Fees Before You Trade New to Polymarket?

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Raphael Collignon wins the Navone vs Collignon professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Navone vs Collignon professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Raphael Collignon in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Raphael Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon ATP match scheduled for August 13 at 11:00AM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from ATP.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Raphael Collignon vs. Mariano Navone prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Raphael Collignon vs. Mariano Navone odds?

The last available prices are Mariano Navone: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 89.1¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Raphael Collignon: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 13.2¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Raphael Collignon vs. Mariano Navone odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 13.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Raphael Collignon vs. Mariano Navone prediction market payouts work?

For example, Mariano Navone at 96.7¢ implies about a 96.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Candidate
Mariano NavoneWINNER	99%	99%	100%	89%
Raphael Collignon	1%	1%	0%	13%

Mariano Navone Wins: Raphael Collignon vs. Mariano Navone

About This Market

Price History

Mariano Navone Wins: Raphael Collignon vs. Mariano Navone

About This Market

Price History

Related Markets

EPL Top 6 Finishers

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Navy Midshipmen

Charlotte 49ers vs. North Texas Mean Green

North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Bryant Bulldogs

Iberian Soul vs. Butterfly

Related Markets

EPL Top 6 Finishers

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Navy Midshipmen

Charlotte 49ers vs. North Texas Mean Green

North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Bryant Bulldogs

Iberian Soul vs. Butterfly

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Mariano Navone Wins: Raphael Collignon vs. Mariano Navone

About This Market

Price History

Mariano Navone Wins: Raphael Collignon vs. Mariano Navone

About This Market

Price History

Related Markets

EPL Top 6 Finishers

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Navy Midshipmen

Charlotte 49ers vs. North Texas Mean Green

North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Bryant Bulldogs

Iberian Soul vs. Butterfly

Related Markets

EPL Top 6 Finishers

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Navy Midshipmen

Charlotte 49ers vs. North Texas Mean Green

North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Bryant Bulldogs

Iberian Soul vs. Butterfly

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Raphael Collignon vs. Mariano Navone

Frequently Asked Questions