About This Market
Tommy Paul vs.
Tommy Paul vs. Daniil Medvedev: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-10-16. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Tommy Paul vs. Daniil Medvedev
Tommy Paul vs. Daniil Medvedev
Live prediction market odds for Tommy Paul vs. Daniil Medvedev. Compare prices across .
ATP Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Oct 16, 2026. Daniil Medvedev was the officially declared outcome.
Tommy Paul vs.
Tommy Paul vs. Daniil Medvedev: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-10-16. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Daniil MedvedevWINNER | Yes |
Tommy Paul | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Daniil Medvedev wins the Medvedev vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Medvedev vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigDaniil Medvedev in Tommy Paul @ Daniil Medvedev Quarterfinals (ATP); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul ATP match scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:00AM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If a player retires or is disqualified during the match, the market will settle to the official winner of the match. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from ATP.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.