Bank of Canada decision in March?
Bank of Canada decision in March?
Live prediction market odds for Bank of Canada decision in March?. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Bank of Canada decision in March regarding interest rates.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Bank of Canada decision in March regarding interest rates. This decision will impact economic growth, inflation, and borrowing costs, influencing both domestic and international markets.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
25 Bps Decrease | No result |
50+ Bps Decrease | No result |
Cut 25bps | No result |
Hike 25bps | No result |
Increase | No result |
No change | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 0bps at its Mar 18, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's March 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its March 18, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The Bank of Canada considers inflation rates, economic growth, and employment data when making interest rate decisions. Global economic conditions and financial stability also play a crucial role.
The Bank of Canada typically reviews interest rates eight times a year during scheduled monetary policy meetings. However, they can also make unscheduled adjustments if necessary.
A rate hike can lead to higher borrowing costs, potentially slowing down economic growth. Conversely, a rate cut may stimulate spending and investment but could raise concerns about inflation.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.