Live prediction market odds for Bank of Mexico rate decision in September. Compare prices across .
Resolved 2026-09-24
This market resolved on 2026-09-24. Maintain current rate was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Bank of Mexico's rate decision held on September 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Bank of Mexico's rate decision held on September 2026. This decision will impact inflation, economic growth, and investor sentiment in Mexico, making it a critical focus for financial markets.
| Candidate |
|---|
Cut 25bps |
Hike 25bps |
Hike 50bps |
Maintain current rateWINNER |
Cut 25bps
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Cut 25bps at the September Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Inflation rates, economic growth indicators, and global financial conditions play significant roles in the Bank of Mexico's decision-making process. Additionally, market expectations and fiscal policies can also impact the outcome.
The Bank of Mexico typically holds monetary policy meetings every quarter, where it reviews economic conditions and makes decisions regarding interest rates. These meetings are crucial for setting the direction of monetary policy.
The Bank of Mexico may choose to cut rates, maintain the current rate, or increase rates, each with distinct implications for the economy. A rate cut could stimulate growth, while a hike might aim to curb inflation.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
