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Live prediction market odds for BMW Championship End of Round 1 Leader. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

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BMW Championship End of Round 1 Leader

2026-08-23

Best price · tap to trade

Wyndham Clark20¢5.00xPolymarket USChris Gotterup20¢5.00xPolymarket USGary Woodland19¢5.26xKalshi
Compare all 14 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Wyndham Clark about a 20.6% chance. Chris Gotterup follows at 19.9%, Gary Woodland follows at 19.4%, and J.J. Spaun follows at 19.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Traders give Wyndham Clark about a 20.6% chance. Chris Gotterup follows at 19.9%, Gary Woodland follows at 19.4%, and J.J. Spaun follows at 19.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the BMW Championship End of Round 1 Leader. This event is crucial as it sets the tone for the tournament, influencing player momentum and fan engagement throughout the championship.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Best price
WC
Wyndham Clark
20%
Kalshi21¢
Polymarket US20¢
Polymarket US4.93x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
20.0%19¢21¢79¢81¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
CG
Chris Gotterup
19%
Kalshi20¢
Polymarket US20¢
Polymarket US5.03x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
GW
Gary Woodland
19%
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket US20¢
Kalshi5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
JS
J.J. Spaun
19%
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket US20¢
Kalshi5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
RM
Rory McIlroy
19%
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket US20¢
Kalshi5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket US

Candidate Spotlight

About Scottie Scheffler

Scottie Scheffler is the current World No. 1 golfer on the PGA Tour. He has won four major championships, including the 2022 Masters Tournament and the 2025 Open Championship. His consistent top performances and leadership in the Official World Golf Ranking make him a strong contender in any tournament.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates14
Leader

Wyndham Clark

20.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: BMW Championship End of Round 1 Leader

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jacob Bridgeman is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 BMW Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If multiple participants are tied for the lead at the end of the round, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied participants, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if Jacob Bridgeman leads the 2026 BMW Championship at the end of Round 1 scheduled for August 20-23, 2026. If two or more players are tied for the lead, each leader's market will settle at $1.00 divided by the number of leaders, rounded down to the nearest cent. If the listed player forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate in the round, the market will settle to No. If the round is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from PGA Tour.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the BMW Championship End of Round 1 Leader?

Player performance in previous rounds, course conditions, and weather forecasts are key factors. Additionally, player popularity and betting trends can impact market odds.

How does the leader after Round 1 affect the overall tournament?

The leader after Round 1 can gain a psychological advantage, influencing their performance in subsequent rounds. A strong start often boosts confidence and can affect competitors' strategies.

What is the significance of the BMW Championship in the golf calendar?

The BMW Championship is part of the PGA Tour and serves as a key event leading up to the FedEx Cup playoffs. Performance here can significantly impact players' standings and playoff qualifications.

What does the BMW Championship End of Round 1 Leader prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest BMW Championship End of Round 1 Leader odds?

The latest available prices are Wyndham Clark: 21.0¢ on Kalshi, 20.3¢ on Polymarket US; Chris Gotterup: 20.0¢ on Kalshi, 19.9¢ on Polymarket US; Gary Woodland: 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 19.9¢ on Polymarket US; J.J. Spaun: 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 19.9¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction Market Track Record

Masters Tournament Winner?LOSTPre-event: 8%
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Winner?LOSTPre-event: 0%
The Genesis Invitational Winner?LOSTPre-event: 2%
The Genesis Invitational End Of Round 1 LeaderLOSTPre-event: 1%
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner?LOSTPre-event: 17%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Masters Tournament Winner?

Resolved

2026-04-13

LOSTScottie Scheffler
Pre-event: 8%

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Winner?

Resolved

2026-02-15

LOSTScottie Scheffler
Pre-event: 0%

The Genesis Invitational Winner?

Resolved

2026-02-22

LOSTScottie Scheffler
Pre-event: 2%

The Genesis Invitational End Of Round 1 Leader

Resolved

2026-02-22

LOSTScottie Scheffler
Pre-event: 1%

Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner?

Resolved

2026-03-08

LOSTScottie Scheffler
Pre-event: 17%