Live prediction market odds for BMW Championship End of Round 2 Leader. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Resolved 2026-08-23
This market resolved on 2026-08-23. Wyndham Clark was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the BMW Championship End of Round 2 Leader.
Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the BMW Championship End of Round 2 Leader. This event is crucial as it influences player momentum and potential qualification for future tournaments, impacting rankings and earnings in professional golf.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Wyndham ClarkWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Eric Cole | 1% | 1% |
Michael Brennan | 1% | 0% |
Aaron Rai | 1% | 0% |
Adam Scott | 1% | 0% |
Akshay Bhatia | 1% | 0% |
Cameron Young | 1% | 0% |
Gary Woodland | 1% | 0% |
J.J. Spaun | 1% | 0% |
Matt Fitzpatrick | 1% | 0% |
Michael Thorbjornsen | 1% | 0% |
Rory McIlroy | 1% | 0% |
Xander Schauffele | 1% | 0% |
Wyndham Clark
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf Akshay Bhatia is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 BMW Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
If multiple participants are tied for the lead at the end of the round, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied participants, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if Akshay Bhatia leads the 2026 BMW Championship at the end of Round 2 scheduled for August 20-23, 2026. If two or more players are tied for the lead, each leader's market will settle at $1.00 divided by the number of leaders, rounded down to the nearest cent. If the listed player forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate in the round, the market will settle to No. If the round is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from PGA Tour.
Player performance in earlier rounds, course conditions, and weather can significantly affect the odds. Additionally, historical performance at the tournament plays a role in shaping expectations.
Strong performances can lead to increased sponsorship opportunities and higher rankings. Success in this tournament may also secure qualification for prestigious events like the Masters.
The second round often determines which players make the cut for the weekend, impacting their chances for a strong finish. A good performance can build momentum and confidence for subsequent rounds.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Wyndham Clark: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket US; Eric Cole: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.9¢ on Polymarket US; Michael Brennan: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.2¢ on Polymarket US; Aaron Rai: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
