About This Market
Traders give Grêmio about a 42.3% chance. Bahia follows at 30.9% and Draw follows at 26.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.8 percentage points.
Grêmio vs. Bahia
Live prediction market odds for Grêmio vs. Bahia. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Brasileirão Game starts Listed Updated
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Traders give Grêmio about a 42.3% chance. Bahia follows at 30.9% and Draw follows at 26.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.8 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tie is the result of the Gremio vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Gremio vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Grêmio FBPA and EC Bahia, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Yes". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Friday, November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Friday, November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Friday, November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from Brazil Série A (https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Grêmio: 42.0¢ on Kalshi, 42.5¢ on Polymarket; Bahia: 30.8¢ on Kalshi, 31.0¢ on Polymarket; Draw: 26.3¢ on Kalshi, 27.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Grêmio at 42.3¢ implies about a 42.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.