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Live prediction market odds for Mainz vs. SV Elversberg. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Mainz vs. SV Elversberg

Bundesliga · Game starts Oct 30, 2026 · Listed Oct 17, 2026 · Updated Oct 19, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Mainz47¢2.13xPolymarket USSV Elversberg28¢3.57xPolymarket USDraw26¢3.85xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Mainz about a 46.7% chance. SV Elversberg follows at 27.8% and Draw follows at 25.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Traders give Mainz about a 46.7% chance. SV Elversberg follows at 27.8% and Draw follows at 25.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Mainz vs. SV Elversberg: Bundesliga game scheduled for 2026-10-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
D
Draw
25%
Kalshi26¢
Polymarket US26¢
Polymarket26¢
Kalshi3.85x26¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
25.0%24¢26¢74¢76¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
25.5%25¢26¢74¢75¢
PolymarketPolymarket
25.0%24¢26¢74¢76¢
M
Mainz
47%
Kalshi48¢
Polymarket US47¢
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket US2.13x47¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
47.0%46¢48¢52¢54¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
46.5%46¢47¢53¢54¢
PolymarketPolymarket
46.5%45¢48¢52¢55¢
SE
SV Elversberg
28%
Kalshi29¢
Polymarket US28¢
Polymarket29¢
Polymarket US3.57x28¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
28.0%27¢29¢71¢73¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
27.5%27¢28¢72¢73¢
PolymarketPolymarket
28.0%27¢29¢71¢73¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms3
Candidates3
Volume$34
Leader

Mainz

46.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Mainz vs. SV Elversberg

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tie is the result of the Elversberg vs Mainz professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Elversberg vs Mainz professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 30, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the SV 07 Elversberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga match scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 3:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from DFL.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Mainz vs. SV Elversberg prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Mainz vs. SV Elversberg odds?

The latest available prices are Mainz: 47.0¢ on Kalshi, 46.5¢ on Polymarket, 46.5¢ on Polymarket US; SV Elversberg: 28.0¢ on Kalshi, 28.0¢ on Polymarket, 27.5¢ on Polymarket US; Draw: 25.0¢ on Kalshi, 25.0¢ on Polymarket, 25.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Mainz vs. SV Elversberg odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Mainz vs. SV Elversberg prediction market payouts work?

For example, Mainz at 46.7¢ implies about a 46.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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