About This Market
Traders give Cincinnati Bearcats about a 78.5% chance. Dayton Flyers follows at 20.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Dayton Flyers
Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Dayton Flyers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

College Basketball Game starts Listed
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Traders give Cincinnati Bearcats about a 78.5% chance. Dayton Flyers follows at 20.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Kalshi
Polymarket USOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and Underdog.
KalshiIf Dayton wins the Cincinnati vs Dayton men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game between Cincinnati Bearcats and Dayton Flyers, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Cincinnati Bearcats win, the market will resolve to "Cincinnati Bearcats". If the Dayton Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Dayton Flyers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cincinnati vs Dayton men's college basketball game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 7:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
CIN @ DAY Moneyline: Dayton to win in CIN @ DAY; settled by Underdog.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Cincinnati Bearcats: 80.0¢ on Kalshi, 77.0¢ on Polymarket US; Dayton Flyers: 18.5¢ on Kalshi, 23.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 4.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cincinnati Bearcats at 78.5¢ implies about a 78.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.