Iona Gaels vs. UMBC Retrievers
Live prediction market odds for Iona Gaels vs. UMBC Retrievers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.
College Basketball Game starts Listed
Best price · tap to trade
Traders give UMBC Retrievers about a 74.3% chance. Iona Gaels follows at 65.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 37.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
Polymarket US
PolymarketKalshiPolymarket USPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf UMBC wins the Iona vs UMBC men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game between Iona Gaels and UMBC Retrievers, originally scheduled for Monday, November 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Iona Gaels win, the market will resolve to "Iona Gaels". If the UMBC Retrievers win, the market will resolve to "UMBC Retrievers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Iona vs UMBC men's college basketball game scheduled for November 16, 2026 at 6:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are UMBC Retrievers: 50.0¢ on Kalshi, 86.0¢ on Polymarket, 87.0¢ on Polymarket US; Iona Gaels: 65.0¢ on Kalshi, 67.0¢ on Polymarket, 65.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 37.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, UMBC Retrievers at 74.3¢ implies about a 74.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
