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North Dakota State Bison vs.
North Dakota State Bison vs. Air Force Falcons: College Football game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for North Dakota State Bison vs. Air Force Falcons. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

College Football·Resolved 2026-09-12
This market resolved on 2026-09-12. North Dakota State Bison was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
North Dakota State Bison vs.
North Dakota State Bison vs. Air Force Falcons: College Football game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total over 58.5 | — | — | — | 100% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 3.5 | 100% | — | — | 100% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | — | 100% | — |
Total over 68.5 | 99% | — | — | 100% | — |
Total over 48.5 | 99% | — | — | 99% | — |
Total over 56.5 | 99% | — | — | 99% | — |
Total over 62.5 | 99% | — | — | 99% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 0.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total over 42.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total over 64.5 | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Total over 52.5 | 99% | — | — | 97% | — |
North Dakota State BisonWINNER | 99% | 61% | 97% | 99% | 97% |
Total over 44.5 | 99% | — | — | 97% | — |
Total over 32.5 | 99% | — | — | 96% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 27.5 | — | — | — | 96% | — |
Total over 38.5 | 99% | — | — | 95% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 22.5 | — | — | — | 95% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 18.5 | — | — | — | 94% | — |
Total over 49.5 | 90% | — | — | 96% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 19.5 | — | — | — | 92% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 18.5 | — | — | — | 91% | — |
Total under 68.5 | — | — | — | 90% | — |
Total over 30.5 | — | — | — | 90% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 17.5 | — | — | — | 89% | — |
Total under 66.5 | — | — | — | 89% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 15.5 | — | — | — | 87% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 16.5 | — | — | — | 87% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 14.5 | — | — | — | 86% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 11.5 | — | — | — | 84% | — |
Total under 62.5 | — | — | — | 84% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 12.5 | — | — | — | 82% | — |
Total over 34.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Total over 36.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Total over 40.5 | — | — | — | 81% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 20.5 | — | — | — | 79% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 9.5 | — | — | — | 74% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 8.5 | — | — | — | 74% | — |
Total under 56.5 | — | — | — | 73% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 6.5 | — | — | — | 72% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 7.5 | — | — | — | 71% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 5.5 | — | — | — | 69% | — |
Total under 52.5 | — | — | — | 68% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 68% | — |
Total under 54.5 | — | — | — | 67% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 24.5 | — | — | — | 66% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 6.5 | — | — | — | 66% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 24.5 | 1% | — | — | 66% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 14.5 | — | — | — | 66% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 65% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 5.5 | — | — | — | 63% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 63% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 62% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 62% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 8.5 | — | — | — | 58% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 57% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — | 56% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 12.5 | — | — | — | 55% | — |
Total under 49.5 | — | — | — | 55% | — |
Total over 46.5 | — | — | — | 54% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 15.5 | — | — | — | 53% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 0.5 | — | — | — | 53% | — |
Total under 48.5 | — | — | — | 53% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 21.5 | — | — | — | 52% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 21.5 | 1% | — | — | 52% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 51% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 34.5 | — | — | — | 51% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 34.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 49% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — | 49% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 13.5 | — | — | — | 48% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 13.5 | 1% | — | — | 48% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 0.5 | — | — | — | 48% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 15.5 | — | — | — | 47% | — |
Total under 46.5 | — | — | — | 46% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 12.5 | — | — | — | 45% | — |
Total over 47.5 | 99% | — | — | 45% | — |
Total under 47.5 | — | — | — | 45% | — |
Total over 50.5 | 99% | — | — | 44% | — |
Total under 50.5 | — | — | — | 44% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread plus 8.5 | — | — | — | 42% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 36% | — |
Total over 54.5 | — | — | — | 33% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 4.5 | 1% | — | — | 33% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 28% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 28% | — |
Total under 38.5 | — | — | — | 28% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 10.5 | — | — | — | 23% | — |
Total under 34.5 | — | — | — | 19% | — |
Total under 36.5 | — | — | — | 19% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 12.5 | — | — | — | 19% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 15.5 | — | — | — | 13% | — |
Total over 66.5 | — | — | — | 11% | — |
Total under 30.5 | — | — | — | 11% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 17.5 | 15% | — | — | 4% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 18.5 | — | — | — | 9% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 19.5 | — | — | — | 9% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 18.5 | — | — | — | 7% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 22.5 | — | — | — | 5% | — |
Total over 60.5 | — | — | — | 5% | — |
Total under 60.5 | — | — | — | 5% | — |
Total under 44.5 | — | — | — | 4% | — |
Air Force Falcons | 1% | 34% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
Total under 32.5 | — | — | — | 3% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 0.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 8.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Total under 40.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Total under 42.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Total under 64.5 | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | — | 1% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 1% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 1% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 20.5 | 1% | — | — | 1% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 27.5 | 1% | — | — | 1% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 14.5 | 1% | — | — | 1% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 14.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread minus 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 16.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 7.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | — |
Total under 58.5 | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Air Force Falcons spread plus 31.5 | — | — | — | 51% | — |
Air Force wins by over 10.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Air Force wins by over 13.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Air Force wins by over 7.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
Air Force wins by over 9.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
North Dakota St. wins by over 11.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
North Dakota St. wins by over 23.5 points | — | — | — | — | — |
North Dakota State Bison spread minus 31.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Over 29.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 35.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 41.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 51.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 53.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 59.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 65.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 71.5 points scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 28.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 28.5 | — | — | — | 50% | — |
North Dakota State Bison
90.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf North Dakota St. wins the North Dakota St. vs Air Force college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigNorth Dakota State Bison in North Dakota State @ Air Force (NCAAF); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game between North Dakota State and Air Force, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the game. This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Bison vs Falcons College Football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are North Dakota State Bison: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.3¢ on Polymarket, 97.5¢ on ProphetX, 61.0¢ on Polymarket US, 96.5¢ on Novig; Air Force Falcons: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.2¢ on ProphetX, 33.5¢ on Polymarket US, 3.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 38.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, North Dakota State Bison at 90.7¢ implies about a 90.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.