If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Louisville Cardinals in SMU @ Louisville (NCAAF); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming college football game between SMU and Louisville, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracle

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the SMU vs Louisville College Football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals odds?

The latest available prices are Louisville Cardinals: 65.5¢ on Kalshi, 65.0¢ on Polymarket, 94.2¢ on ProphetX, 32.0¢ on Polymarket US, 57.0¢ on Novig; SMU Mustangs: 34.0¢ on Kalshi, 35.0¢ on Polymarket, 9.3¢ on ProphetX, 68.0¢ on Polymarket US, 43.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 62.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals prediction market payouts work?

For example, Louisville Cardinals at 62.7¢ implies about a 62.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals

SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals

About This Market

Price History

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Spread

Totals

Smart Trade Router

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SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals

SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals

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Market Rulebook: SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals

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