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Live prediction market odds for UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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SMU Mustangs Wins: UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs

College Football·Resolved 2026-09-12

This market resolved on 2026-09-12. SMU Mustangs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

UC Davis Aggies vs.

UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs: College Football game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
SMU Mustangs spread minus 0.5
———100%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 15.5
———100%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 28.5
———100%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 36.5
———100%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 37.5
———100%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 8.5
———100%—
Total under 76.5
———100%—
Total under 78.5
———100%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 46.5
———100%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 5.5
100%——100%—
Over 65.5 points scored
100%————
SMU Mustangs spread minus 1.5
———99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 10.5
99%——99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 2.5
———99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 22.5
———99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 26.5
———99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 40.5
———99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 44.5
———99%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 50.5
———99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 21.5
99%——99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 35.5
99%——99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 6.5
99%——99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 9.5
99%——99%—
Over 41.5 points scored
99%————
Over 47.5 points scored
99%————
Over 53.5 points scored
99%————
Over 57.5 points scored
99%————
Over 59.5 points scored
99%————
Over 61.5 points scored
99%————
SMU wins by over 11.5 points
99%————
Total over 42.5
———99%—
Total over 50.5
99%——99%—
Total over 54.5
———99%—
Total over 64.5
———99%—
Total under 66.5
———99%—
Total under 72.5
———99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 14.5
99%——98%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 17.5
99%——98%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 23.5
97%——99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 3.5
98%——94%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 4.5
99%——95%—
SMU MustangsWINNER
99%92%100%97%99%
SMU wins by over 48.5 points
92%————
SMU Mustangs spread minus 30.5
100%——91%—
SMU wins by over 45.5 points
87%————
Total under 44.5
———87%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 38.5
85%——99%—
SMU wins by over 41.5 points
85%————
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 4.5
———84%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 47.5
———83%—
Total over 58.5
99%——82%—
Total over 38.5
99%——81%—
Total over 46.5
———81%—
Total over 48.5
———81%—
Total under 70.5
———80%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 19.5
———78%—
SMU wins by over 51.5 points
77%————
SMU Mustangs spread minus 47.5
———67%—
Total over 52.5
———66%—
Total over 44.5
99%——61%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 24.5
99%——59%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 24.5
———59%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 27.5
93%——20%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 25.5
———56%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 29.5
———56%—
Total over 56.5
99%——56%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 31.5
———54%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 32.5
———54%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 32.5
———54%—
Total over 40.5
———53%—
Total under 60.5
———53%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 33.5
100%——48%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 33.5
———48%—
Total over 60.5
99%——47%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 31.5
———46%—
Total under 56.5
———44%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 25.5
———44%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 27.5
———44%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 29.5
———44%—
SMU wins by over 54.5 points
40%————
Total over 62.5
99%——39%—
Total under 54.5
———39%—
SMU wins by over 57.5 points
35%————
Total under 52.5
———34%—
Over 71.5 points scored
26%————
SMU Mustangs spread minus 43.5
———23%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 19.5
———23%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 43.5
———23%—
Total over 70.5
———20%—
Total over 68.5
20%——99%—
Total under 50.5
———19%—
Total under 58.5
———18%—
Total over 74.5
14%——99%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 7.5
99%——11%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 5.5
———10%—
Total under 38.5
———10%—
Over 77.5 points scored
9%————
Total under 40.5
———9%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 30.5
———9%—
UC Davis Aggies
1%9%1%3%6%
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 3.5
———6%—
Over 80.5 points scored
4%————
SMU Mustangs spread minus 13.5
99%——2%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 16.5
99%——2%—
Total under 62.5
———2%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 13.5
———2%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 14.5
———2%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 16.5
———2%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 17.5
———2%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 12.5
———1%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 34.5
———1%—
Total over 72.5
———1%—
Total over 76.5
———1%—
Total under 42.5
———1%—
Total under 46.5
———1%—
Total under 48.5
———1%—
Total under 64.5
———1%—
Total under 68.5
———1%—
Total under 74.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 20.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 23.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 1.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 10.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 15.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 2.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 21.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 26.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 37.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 40.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 44.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 6.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 9.5
———1%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 7.5
———0%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 46.5
———0%—
SMU Mustangs spread minus 50.5
———0%—
Total over 66.5
———0%—
Total over 78.5
———0%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 0.5
———0%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 12.5
———0%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 22.5
———0%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 28.5
———0%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 34.5
———0%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 35.5
———0%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 36.5
———0%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 38.5
———0%—
UC Davis Aggies spread plus 8.5
———0%—
SMU wins by over 60.5 points
0%————
SMU wins by over 63.5 points
0%————
SMU Mustangs spread minus 20.5
99%——1%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread8.0%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Winner

SMU Mustangs

97.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If SMU wins the UC Davis vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

SMU Mustangs in UC Davis @ SMU (NCAAF); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming college football game between UC Davis and SMU, scheduled for September 12 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UC Davis" if UC Davis win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Aggies vs Mustangs College Football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs odds?

The last available prices are SMU Mustangs: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 97.4¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 91.5¢ on Polymarket US, 99.5¢ on Novig; UC Davis Aggies: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.6¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on ProphetX, 8.5¢ on Polymarket US, 0.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 8.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs prediction market payouts work?

For example, SMU Mustangs at 97.3¢ implies about a 97.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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