Champions League Final Qualifiers
Live prediction market odds for Champions League Final Qualifiers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Compare all 36 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give PSG about a 35.0% chance. Barcelona follows at 33.0%, Arsenal follows at 26.8%, and Real Madrid follows at 26.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Villarreal is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes. This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2027 UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the 2027 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Teams qualify based on their performance in the qualifying rounds. The top teams from these rounds secure their spots in the final match.
Odds fluctuate based on team performances in the qualifying matches. Key events such as wins, losses, and draws directly impact the market.
Scheduled trading close occurs on May 9, 2027. However, the actual outcomes are determined by the results of the qualifying matches.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are PSG: 35.0¢ on Kalshi; Barcelona: 35.0¢ on Kalshi, 31.0¢ on Polymarket; Arsenal: 27.5¢ on Kalshi, 26.0¢ on Polymarket; Real Madrid: 28.0¢ on Kalshi, 24.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
