Champions League Round of 16 Qualifiers
Live prediction market odds for Champions League Round of 16 Qualifiers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Compare all 36 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give PSG about a 98.5% chance. Arsenal follows at 98.3%, Real Madrid follows at 96.9%, and Barcelona follows at 96.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 7.6 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Villarreal is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes. This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Teams qualify based on their performance in the group stage of the Champions League. The top two teams from each group advance to the knockout stage.
Odds in this market change based on the outcomes of group stage matches. Wins, losses, and draws influence the likelihood of teams advancing.
Trading for this market closes on February 28, 2027. This deadline is set to ensure all qualifying teams are determined before the knockout stage begins.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are PSG: 98.5¢ on Kalshi; Arsenal: 97.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket; Real Madrid: 96.0¢ on Kalshi, 97.8¢ on Polymarket; Barcelona: 96.0¢ on Kalshi, 96.3¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
