Champions League Semifinals Qualifiers
Live prediction market odds for Champions League Semifinals Qualifiers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Compare all 35 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give PSG about a 57.5% chance. Barcelona follows at 57.0%, Arsenal follows at 48.3%, and Bayern Munich follows at 47.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 7.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Villarreal is one of the teams to qualify for the Semifinals in the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes. This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market resolves when the teams advancing from the quarterfinals are confirmed. This includes the results of the matches played in the quarterfinal round.
Odds fluctuate based on the outcomes of the quarterfinal matches and the performance of the teams involved. Factors such as injuries, team form, and historical performance also influence the odds.
Scheduled trading close occurs on April 18, 2027. This is the deadline for placing bets before the outcomes of the quarterfinal matches are determined.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are PSG: 57.5¢ on Kalshi; Barcelona: 58.5¢ on Kalshi, 55.5¢ on Polymarket; Arsenal: 47.5¢ on Kalshi, 49.0¢ on Polymarket; Bayern Munich: 47.5¢ on Kalshi, 47.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
