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Live prediction market odds for College Football National Championship Qualifiers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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College Football National Championship Qualifiers

2027-01-25

Best price · tap to trade

Georgia30¢3.33xKalshiTexas31¢3.23xKalshiNotre Dame30¢3.33xKalshi
Compare all 44 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Georgia about a 30.0% chance. Texas follows at 28.8%, Notre Dame follows at 28.0%, and Ohio St follows at 27.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.0 percentage points.

Traders give Georgia about a 30.0% chance. Texas follows at 28.8%, Notre Dame follows at 28.0%, and Ohio St follows at 27.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the College Football National Championship Qualifiers. This market resolves based on the teams that qualify for the championship game on January 25, 2027, with odds fluctuating based on team performances throughout the season and conference championships.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
G
Georgia
30%
Kalshi30¢
Polymarket31¢
Kalshi3.33x30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
30.0%28¢30¢70¢72¢
PolymarketPolymarket
30.0%30¢31¢69¢70¢
T
Texas
29%
Kalshi31¢
Polymarket29¢
Kalshi3.23x31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
30.0%30¢31¢69¢70¢
PolymarketPolymarket
27.5%26¢29¢71¢74¢
ND
Notre DameARB
28%
Kalshi30¢
Polymarket26¢
Kalshi3.33x30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
30.0%29¢30¢70¢71¢
PolymarketPolymarket
26.0%24¢26¢74¢76¢
OS
Ohio StARB
27%
Kalshi30¢
Polymarket25¢
Kalshi3.33x30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
30.0%29¢30¢70¢71¢
PolymarketPolymarket
24.0%24¢25¢75¢76¢
M(
Miami (FL)ARB
26%
Kalshi28¢
Polymarket24¢
Kalshi3.57x28¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
28.0%27¢28¢72¢73¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About James Madison

Billy Napier is the head football coach at James Madison University. He previously served as head coach at the University of Florida from 2022 to 2025. Napier has a track record of leading programs to successful seasons and conference championships.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclecollegefootballplayoff.comConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.0%
Platforms2
Candidates44
Leader

Georgia

30.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: College Football National Championship Qualifiers

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Washington is one of the teams to reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team plays in the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game" refers to the title game concluding the College Football Playoff for the 2026 college football season, scheduled to be played in January 2027. A team counts as making the game if it is one of the two teams that competes in it. If the College Football Playoff National Championship Game is canceled or not played by February 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclecollegefootballplayoff.comConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the qualifiers for the College Football National Championship?

Qualifiers are determined by the selection committee based on team performance, rankings, and conference championships. The final decision is announced shortly before the championship date.

When will the College Football National Championship take place?

The championship is scheduled for January 25, 2027. This date marks the culmination of the college football season.

How do odds change leading up to the championship qualifiers?

Odds can change based on team victories, losses, and rankings in the weeks leading up to the championship. Key games and player injuries also significantly impact market movements.

What does the College Football National Championship Qualifiers prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest College Football National Championship Qualifiers odds?

The latest available prices are Georgia: 30.0¢ on Kalshi, 30.0¢ on Polymarket; Texas: 30.0¢ on Kalshi, 27.5¢ on Polymarket; Notre Dame: 30.0¢ on Kalshi, 26.0¢ on Polymarket; Ohio St: 30.0¢ on Kalshi, 24.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

2026 College Football ChampionshipLOSTPre-event: 1%Washington State vs. James MadisonWONPre-event: 0%James Madison vs. Coastal Carolina ChanticleersWONPre-event: 94%Troy vs. James MadisonWONPre-event: 95%James Madison vs. OregonLOSTPre-event: 8%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

2026 College Football Championship

Resolved

2026-01-01

LOSTJames Madison
Pre-event: 1%

Washington State vs. James Madison

Resolved

2025-11-22

WONJames Madison
Pre-event: 0%

James Madison vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Resolved

2025-11-29

WONJames Madison
Pre-event: 94%

Troy vs. James Madison

Resolved

2025-12-05

WONJames Madison
Pre-event: 95%

James Madison vs. Oregon

Resolved

2025-12-20

LOSTJames Madison
Pre-event: 8%

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