Traders give Georgia about a 87.3% chance. Notre Dame follows at 61.8%, Miami (FL) follows at 51.3%, and Utah follows at 49.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 14.3 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: College Football Playoff: Top 4 Seeds
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Washington is selected as a top 4 seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff, then the market resolves to Yes.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise.
If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
When does the College Football Playoff Selection Committee announce the top four seeds?
The announcement occurs on February 7, 2027. This decision follows the conclusion of the regular season and conference championship games.
What factors influence the rankings for the College Football Playoff?
Rankings are influenced by team performance throughout the season, including win-loss records, strength of schedule, and head-to-head results. The committee evaluates these factors to determine the top four seeds.
How do prediction markets reflect changes in team performance leading up to the announcement?
Odds in prediction markets fluctuate based on team performances in games leading up to the announcement. Significant wins or losses can lead to rapid changes in the odds for potential playoff teams.
What does the College Football Playoff: Top 4 Seeds prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest College Football Playoff: Top 4 Seeds odds?
The latest available prices are Georgia: 87.0¢ on Kalshi, 87.5¢ on Polymarket; Notre Dame: 62.5¢ on Kalshi, 61.0¢ on Polymarket; Miami (FL): 51.0¢ on Kalshi, 51.5¢ on Polymarket; Utah: 42.5¢ on Kalshi, 56.8¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.