Traders give Patrick Mahomes about a 54.0% chance. Fred Warner follows at 8.0%, Kirk Cousins follows at 5.0%, and George Kittle follows at 3.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Comeback Player of the Year Winner
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Patrick Mahomes wins the Pro Football AP Comeback Player of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
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This market will settle to Yes if Patrick Mahomes wins the Pro Football AP Comeback Player of the Year Award for the 2026-27 regular season. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body. If Patrick Mahomes ties with one or more other players for the award Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract.
Frequently Asked Questions
What criteria are used to determine the Comeback Player of the Year?
The award is typically given to a player who has shown remarkable improvement after a significant injury or setback. Voter sentiment often considers both statistical performance and the narrative of recovery.
When is the Comeback Player of the Year winner announced?
The winner is usually announced during the NFL Honors ceremony, which takes place the night before the Super Bowl. This timing allows for a celebration of individual achievements in the context of the season's conclusion.
How do injuries impact the odds for this award?
Injuries significantly influence player performance and public perception, often swaying odds as players recover. Markets react to news about player health, performance in games, and overall team success.
What does the Comeback Player of the Year Winner prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Comeback Player of the Year Winner odds?
The latest available prices are Patrick Mahomes: 52.5¢ on Kalshi, 55.5¢ on Polymarket US; Fred Warner: 7.5¢ on Kalshi, 8.5¢ on Polymarket US; Kirk Cousins: 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket US; George Kittle: 2.5¢ on Kalshi, 3.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.