Traders give United States about a 37.8% chance. Mexico follows at 37.0%, Guatemala follows at 10.3%, and Haiti follows at 16.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 19.3 percentage points.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League per the rules of CONCACAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from CONCACAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
How is the champion of the CONCACAF Nations League A determined?
The champion is decided through a knockout tournament format, culminating in a final match. Teams compete in various rounds leading up to the championship.
What factors influence the odds for this event?
Odds are affected by team performance in qualifying matches, injuries, and historical performance in the tournament. Market participants analyze these factors to predict outcomes.
When does trading close for this event?
Trading for the CONCACAF Nations League A Champion closes on March 31, 2027. This deadline marks the end of market activity before the tournament concludes.
What does the CONCACAF Nations League A Champion prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest CONCACAF Nations League A Champion odds?
The latest available prices are United States: 45.0¢ on Kalshi, 30.5¢ on Polymarket; Mexico: 36.0¢ on Kalshi, 38.0¢ on Polymarket; Guatemala: 20.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.7¢ on Polymarket; Haiti: 14.0¢ on Kalshi, 19.4¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.