About This Market
Traders give ASTRON about a 74.0% chance. Four Magic follows at 71.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 48.0 percentage points.
ASTRON vs. Four Magic
Live prediction market odds for ASTRON vs. Four Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Traders give ASTRON about a 74.0% chance. Four Magic follows at 71.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 48.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
95¢The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are ASTRON: 98.0¢ on Kalshi, 50.0¢ on Polymarket; Four Magic: 92.0¢ on Kalshi, 50.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 48.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, ASTRON at 74.0¢ implies about a 74.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.