About This Market
Traders give ex-UPGRADE about a 55.0% chance. Drama eSports follows at 44.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.
ex-UPGRADE vs. Drama eSports
Live prediction market odds for ex-UPGRADE vs. Drama eSports. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Traders give ex-UPGRADE about a 55.0% chance. Drama eSports follows at 44.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.
Best price among US-regulated venues.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are ex-UPGRADE: 54.0¢ on Kalshi, 56.0¢ on Polymarket; Drama eSports: 44.0¢ on Kalshi, 44.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, ex-UPGRADE at 55.0¢ implies about a 55.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.