About This Market
Traders give Butterfly about a 80.8% chance. Leo Team follows at 18.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.
Live prediction market odds for Leo Team vs. Butterfly. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Traders give Butterfly about a 80.8% chance. Leo Team follows at 18.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Underdog.
Butterfly vs Leo Team Moneyline: LEO to win in Butterfly vs Leo Team; settled by Underdog.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Butterfly: 80.5¢ on Kalshi, 81.0¢ on Polymarket; Leo Team: 18.5¢ on Kalshi, 19.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Butterfly at 80.8¢ implies about a 80.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.