What does the Spirit Academy Green vs. A Great Chaos prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Spirit Academy Green vs. A Great Chaos odds?

The latest available prices are A Great Chaos: 63.0¢ on Kalshi, 48.0¢ on Polymarket; Spirit Academy Green: 55.0¢ on Kalshi, 52.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Spirit Academy Green vs. A Great Chaos odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 15.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Spirit Academy Green vs. A Great Chaos prediction market payouts work?

For example, A Great Chaos at 55.5¢ implies about a 55.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.