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Live prediction market odds for STATE vs. ex-Zero Tenacity. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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STATE vs. ex-Zero Tenacity

Counter-Strike 2·2026-09-25

Best price · tap to trade

STATE68¢1.47xKalshiex-Zero Tenacity1¢100.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give STATE about a 57.3% chance. ex-Zero Tenacity follows at 0.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 21.5 percentage points.

Traders give STATE about a 57.3% chance. ex-Zero Tenacity follows at 0.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 21.5 percentage points.

STATE vs. ex-Zero Tenacity: Counter-Strike 2 match scheduled for 2026-09-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
S
STATEARB
57%
Kalshi68¢
Polymarket47¢
Kalshi1.47x68¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
67.0%66¢68¢32¢34¢
PolymarketPolymarket
46.0%45¢47¢53¢55¢
ET
ex-Zero Tenacity
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Map Winner

Game 1 Winner
STATE-
ex-Zero Tenacity-
Game 2 Winner
STATE-
ex-Zero Tenacity-

Total Maps

ARB 31¢
Best price
O 2.5 maps
Kalshi69¢
Polymarket100¢
Kalshi1.45x69¢
U 2.5 maps
Kalshi31¢
Polymarket0¢
Polymarket1000.00x0¢

Map Handicap

Best price
STATE -1.5 maps
Polymarket100¢
ex-Zero Tenacity +1.5 maps
Polymarket0¢
Polymarket1000.00x0¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction HuntPrediction.com aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria - check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread21.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

STATE

57.3% avg

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the STATE vs. ex-Zero Tenacity prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest STATE vs. ex-Zero Tenacity odds?

The latest available prices are STATE: 68.0¢ on Kalshi, 46.5¢ on Polymarket; ex-Zero Tenacity: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do STATE vs. ex-Zero Tenacity odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 21.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do STATE vs. ex-Zero Tenacity prediction market payouts work?

For example, STATE at 57.3¢ implies about a 57.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds