Live prediction market odds for UPGRADE vs. Black Phoenix. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Counter-Strike 2·Resolved 2026-08-30
This market resolved on 2026-08-30. Black Phoenix was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
UPGRADE vs.
UPGRADE vs. Black Phoenix — Counter-Strike 2 match held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Black Phoenix -1.5 maps | — | 100% |
O 2.5 maps | 99% | 100% |
Black PhoenixWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Black Phoenix (Map 1) | 99% | — |
UPGRADE (Map 2) | 99% | — |
Black Phoenix (Map 2) | 1% | — |
UPGRADE (Map 1) | 1% | — |
UPGRADE | 1% | 0% |
U 2.5 maps | — | 0% |
UPGRADE -1.5 maps | — | — |
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction HuntPrediction.com aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria - check each platform's rules before trading.
Black Phoenix
99.5% avg
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Black Phoenix: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket; UPGRADE: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Black Phoenix at 99.5¢ implies about a 99.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.
