Live prediction market odds for UPGRADE vs. REFRESHER. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Best price · tap to trade
Live prediction market odds for UPGRADE vs. REFRESHER. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Best price · tap to trade
Traders give UPGRADE about a 83.5% chance. REFRESHER follows at 16.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.
Traders give UPGRADE about a 83.5% chance. REFRESHER follows at 16.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.
UPGRADE vs. REFRESHER: Counter-Strike 2 match scheduled for 2026-10-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction HuntPrediction.com aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria - check each platform's rules before trading.
UPGRADE
83.5% avg
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are UPGRADE: 85.0¢ on Kalshi, 82.0¢ on Polymarket; REFRESHER: 15.0¢ on Kalshi, 18.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, UPGRADE at 83.5¢ implies about a 83.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.