What does the your end vs. Peladona prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest your end vs. Peladona odds?

The latest available prices are Peladona: 64.0¢ on Kalshi, 50.5¢ on Polymarket; your end: 36.0¢ on Kalshi, 49.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do your end vs. Peladona odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 13.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do your end vs. Peladona prediction market payouts work?

For example, Peladona at 57.3¢ implies about a 57.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.