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Live prediction market odds for Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US

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Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner?

2027-02-11

Best price · tap to trade

David Bailey17¢5.88xKalshiSonny Styles11¢9.09xKalshiArvell Reese9¢11.11xKalshi
Compare all 20 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give David Bailey about a 19.0% chance. Sonny Styles follows at 12.0%, Arvell Reese follows at 9.3%, and Caleb Downs follows at 9.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.

Traders give David Bailey about a 19.0% chance. Sonny Styles follows at 12.0%, Arvell Reese follows at 9.3%, and Caleb Downs follows at 9.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.

Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the Defensive Rookie of the Year winner for the 2027 NFL season. This award highlights standout performances among first-year defensive players, influencing team dynamics and future player valuations in the league.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Best price
DB
David BaileyARB
19%
Kalshi17¢
Polymarket US22¢
Kalshi5.88x17¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.5%16¢17¢83¢84¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
21.5%21¢22¢78¢79¢
SS
Sonny StylesARB
12%
Kalshi11¢
Polymarket US26¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
11.0%9¢11¢89¢91¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
13.0%13¢26¢74¢87¢
AR
Arvell Reese
9%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US10¢
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
10.0%9¢10¢90¢91¢
CD
Caleb Downs
9%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US11¢
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
10.0%10¢11¢89¢90¢
MD
Mansoor Delane
7%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket US7¢
Kalshi16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
7.0%4¢7¢93¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket US

Candidate Spotlight

About Caleb Downs

Caleb Downs is a safety for the Dallas Cowboys. He transferred from Alabama to Ohio State, earning unanimous All-American honors and the Jim Thorpe Award. His versatility and playmaking ability make him a strong candidate for Defensive Rookie of the Year.

Prediction Market Track Record

NFL Draft 2026: First Overall PickLOSTPre-event: 1%Pro Football #3 overall pick in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 1%Pro Football Players Drafted Top 5 in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 32%

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.0%
Platforms2
Candidates20
Leader

David Bailey

19.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Arvell Reese wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Rookie of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if Arvell Reese wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Award for the 2026-27 regular season. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body. If Arvell Reese ties with one or more other players for the award Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract.

Frequently Asked Questions

What criteria are used to determine the Defensive Rookie of the Year?

The award is typically based on individual performance metrics, including tackles, interceptions, and overall impact on games. Voter sentiment and team success also play a crucial role in the decision.

How do injuries affect the odds for this award?

Injuries can significantly impact a player's performance and availability, leading to shifts in market odds. If a leading candidate is sidelined, it opens opportunities for others to gain recognition.

What role do media narratives play in shaping the odds?

Media coverage can amplify a player's achievements or struggles, influencing public perception and betting behavior. Positive narratives can boost a player's odds, while negative stories may decrease their chances.

What does the Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner odds?

The latest available prices are David Bailey: 16.5¢ on Kalshi, 21.5¢ on Polymarket US; Sonny Styles: 11.0¢ on Kalshi, 13.0¢ on Polymarket US; Arvell Reese: 8.5¢ on Kalshi, 10.0¢ on Polymarket US; Caleb Downs: 8.5¢ on Kalshi, 10.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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