Traders give Arvell Reese about a 50.0% chance. David Bailey follows at 31.0%, Sonny Styles follows at 5.5%, and Brandon Cisse follows at 2.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.
Caleb Downs is a safety for the Dallas Cowboys. He transferred from Alabama to Ohio State, earning unanimous All-American honors and the Jim Thorpe Award. His versatility and playmaking ability make him a strong candidate for Defensive Rookie of the Year.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner?
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Arvell Reese wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Rookie of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
This market will settle to Yes if Arvell Reese wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Award for the 2026-27 regular season. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body. If Arvell Reese ties with one or more other players for the award Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract.
Frequently Asked Questions
What criteria are used to determine the Defensive Rookie of the Year?
The award is typically based on individual performance metrics, including tackles, interceptions, and overall impact on games. Voter sentiment and team success also play a crucial role in the decision.
How do injuries affect the odds for this award?
Injuries can significantly impact a player's performance and availability, leading to shifts in market odds. If a leading candidate is sidelined, it opens opportunities for others to gain recognition.
What role do media narratives play in shaping the odds?
Media coverage can amplify a player's achievements or struggles, influencing public perception and betting behavior. Positive narratives can boost a player's odds, while negative stories may decrease their chances.
What does the Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner odds?
The latest available prices are Arvell Reese: 51.5¢ on Kalshi, 48.5¢ on Polymarket US; David Bailey: 30.5¢ on Kalshi, 31.5¢ on Polymarket US; Sonny Styles: 7.5¢ on Kalshi, 3.5¢ on Polymarket US; Brandon Cisse: 2.5¢ on Kalshi, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.