Traders give Bayern Munich about a 47.7% chance. Borussia Dortmund follows at 15.9%, Hamburg follows at 7.0%, and Wolfsburg follows at 7.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.6 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: DFB Pokal Champion
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Stuttgart is the 2026-27 DFB Pokal Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
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This market will resolve according to the club that wins the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed club to win the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal per the rules of the competition (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Deutscher Fußball-Bund (DFB); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the winner of the DFB Pokal Champion market?
The winner is determined by the outcome of the DFB Pokal final match. This match features the two teams that have advanced through the tournament.
How do team performances affect the odds for this market?
Odds can change based on teams' performances in earlier rounds of the tournament. Factors such as injuries, match results, and historical performance also influence betting behavior.
When does trading close for the DFB Pokal Champion market?
Trading closes on May 29, 2027, coinciding with the venue deadline for the final match. This deadline does not necessarily indicate when the outcome is decided.
What does the DFB Pokal Champion prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest DFB Pokal Champion odds?
The latest available prices are Bayern Munich: 50.0¢ on Kalshi, 45.4¢ on Polymarket; Borussia Dortmund: 14.5¢ on Kalshi, 17.4¢ on Polymarket; Hamburg: 7.0¢ on Kalshi; Wolfsburg: 7.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.