This market resolved on Aug 25, 2026. Ryan Blaney was the officially declared outcome.
About This Market
Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the Dollar Tree 301 Winner event.
Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the Dollar Tree 301 Winner event. This race is crucial as it can impact driver standings and playoff qualifications in the NASCAR series.
Price History
Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds
1 platform
Question
Result
Ryan BlaneyWINNER
Yes
AJ Allmendinger
No
Alex Bowman
No
Austin Cindric
No
Austin Hill
No
Brad Keselowski
No
Bubba Wallace
No
Carson Hocevar
No
Chase Briscoe
No
Chase Elliott
No
Chris Buescher
No
Christopher Bell
No
Cody Ware
No
Cole Custer
No
Daniel Suarez
No
Denny Hamlin
No
Erik Jones
No
Joey Logano
No
John H. Nemechek
No
Josh Berry
No
Kyle Larson
No
Michael McDowell
No
Noah Gragson
No
Ricky Stenhouse
No
Riley Herbst
No
Ross Chastain
No
Ryan Preece
No
Shane Van Gisbergen
No
Todd Gilliland
No
Ty Dillon
No
Ty Gibbs
No
Tyler Reddick
No
William Byron
No
Zane Smith
No
Candidate Spotlight
About Ryan Blaney
Ryan Blaney is the driver of the No. 12 Ford Mustang for Team Penske in the NASCAR Cup Series. He secured his first championship in 2023, finishing second at Phoenix Raceway to clinch the title. Blaney's consistent performance and leadership have established him as a top contender in NASCAR.
About Chase Briscoe
Chase Briscoe is a professional NASCAR driver for Stewart-Haas Racing, piloting the No. 14 Ford Mustang in the Cup Series. He won his first Cup Series race at Phoenix Raceway in 2022, securing a spot in the NASCAR Playoffs. Briscoe's consistent performance and contract extension with Stewart-Haas Racing underscore his significant role in the NASCAR Cup Series.
About Chase Elliott
Chase Elliott is a professional race car driver for Hendrick Motorsports in the NASCAR Cup Series. He won the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series Championship and the 2014 NASCAR Xfinity Series Championship. As a driver for Hendrick Motorsports, he has achieved multiple race victories and is recognized as NASCAR's Most Popular Driver.
About Christopher Bell
Christopher Bell is a professional stock car racing driver for Joe Gibbs Racing in the NASCAR Cup Series. He won the 2017 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series Championship. Bell has secured 13 Cup Series victories, including a win at the 2025 Bristol Night Race.
About Denny Hamlin
Denny Hamlin is a NASCAR Cup Series driver for Joe Gibbs Racing and co-owner of 23XI Racing. He has achieved 64 Cup Series wins, including three Daytona 500 victories and the 2022 Coca-Cola 600. His extensive experience and leadership in NASCAR make him a prominent figure in the sport.
About Joey Logano
Joey Logano is a three-time NASCAR Cup Series champion, currently driving the No. 22 Shell-Pennzoil Ford Mustang for Team Penske. He secured his third championship in 2024, joining an elite group of drivers with multiple titles. Logano's consistent performance and leadership make him a prominent figure in NASCAR's competitive landscape.
About Josh Berry
Josh Berry is a NASCAR Cup Series driver for Wood Brothers Racing. He won his first Cup Series race in March 2025 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Berry's consistent performance in the Xfinity Series, including multiple wins and a Championship 4 appearance, underscores his qualifications.
About Kyle Larson
Kyle Larson is a two-time NASCAR Cup Series champion and driver of the No. 5 Chevrolet for Hendrick Motorsports. He secured his second title in 2025, adding to his 2021 championship. Larson is recognized for his versatility and success across various racing disciplines.
About Ty Gibbs
Ty Gibbs is a NASCAR Cup Series driver for Joe Gibbs Racing, piloting the No. 54 Toyota Camry. He secured the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series championship and was named Rookie of the Year in 2023. His rapid ascent in NASCAR showcases his exceptional driving skills and potential for future success.
About Tyler Reddick
Tyler Reddick is the driver of the No. 45 Toyota Camry XSE for 23XI Racing in the NASCAR Cup Series. He won consecutive NASCAR Xfinity Series championships in 2018 and 2019. Reddick has secured multiple Cup Series victories, including a historic win at the 2026 Daytona 500.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Dollar Tree 301 Winner
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Ross Chastain finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience.
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This market will settle to Yes if Ross Chastain wins the Dollar Tree 301 scheduled for August 23, 2026. If the driver does not compete, withdraws, or does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. If the race is delayed, postponed, or rescheduled, the settlement date will be amended to the rescheduled date. If the race is cancelled or the rescheduled date is not within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dollar Tree 301?
The Dollar Tree 301 is a NASCAR race held annually, featuring a competitive field of drivers. It is part of the NASCAR Cup Series schedule.
Why are prediction markets important for this event?
Prediction markets provide insights into the likely outcomes based on real-time betting behavior. They reflect public sentiment and expert analysis leading up to the race.
How does the Dollar Tree 301 affect the NASCAR season?
Performance in the Dollar Tree 301 can influence driver standings and playoff eligibility. Winning this race can significantly boost a driver's chances for the championship.
What does the Dollar Tree 301 Winner prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
What were the last available Dollar Tree 301 Winner odds?
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.