Live prediction market odds for Dollar Tree 301 Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Resolved 2026-08-24
This market resolved on 2026-08-24. Ryan Blaney was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the Dollar Tree 301 Winner event.
Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the Dollar Tree 301 Winner event. This race is crucial as it can impact driver standings and playoff qualifications in the NASCAR series.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Ryan BlaneyWINNER | 99% | 97% |
AJ Allmendinger | 1% | 1% |
Alex Bowman | 1% | 1% |
Austin Cindric | 1% | 1% |
Austin Hill | 1% | 1% |
Brad Keselowski | 1% | 1% |
Carson Hocevar | 1% | 1% |
Chase Briscoe | 1% | 1% |
Chase Elliott | 1% | 1% |
Chris Buescher | 1% | 1% |
Christopher Bell | 1% | 1% |
Cody Ware | 1% | 1% |
Cole Custer | 1% | 1% |
Daniel Suárez | 1% | 1% |
Denny Hamlin | 1% | 1% |
Erik Jones | 1% | 1% |
Joey Logano | 1% | 1% |
John H. Nemechek | 1% | 1% |
Josh Berry | 1% | 1% |
Kyle Larson | 1% | 1% |
Michael McDowell | 1% | 1% |
Noah Gragson | 1% | 1% |
Riley Herbst | 1% | 1% |
Ross Chastain | 1% | 1% |
Ryan Preece | 1% | 1% |
Shane Van Gisbergen | 1% | 1% |
Todd Gilliland | 1% | 1% |
Ty Dillon | 1% | 1% |
Ty Gibbs | 1% | 1% |
Tyler Reddick | 1% | 1% |
William Byron | 1% | 1% |
Zane Smith | 1% | 1% |
Ryan Blaney
98.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf Ross Chastain finishes in first in the Main race at the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if Ross Chastain wins the Dollar Tree 301 scheduled for August 23, 2026. If the driver does not compete, withdraws, or does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. If the race is delayed, postponed, or rescheduled, the settlement date will be amended to the rescheduled date. If the race is cancelled or the rescheduled date is not within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
The Dollar Tree 301 is a NASCAR race held annually, featuring a competitive field of drivers. It is part of the NASCAR Cup Series schedule.
Prediction markets provide insights into the likely outcomes based on real-time betting behavior. They reflect public sentiment and expert analysis leading up to the race.
Performance in the Dollar Tree 301 can influence driver standings and playoff eligibility. Winning this race can significantly boost a driver's chances for the championship.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Ryan Blaney: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 97.0¢ on Polymarket US; AJ Allmendinger: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US; Alex Bowman: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US; Austin Cindric: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
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