Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 20277¢14.29xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027 about a 4.4% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.3 percentage points.

Traders give Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027 about a 4.4% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.3 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the potential departure of Elon Musk as Tesla CEO before 2027. This event is pivotal as it could impact Tesla's stock performance and strategic direction amid ongoing discussions about leadership and innovation in the electric vehicle market.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MO
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027
4%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.0%3¢7¢93¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.7%2¢5¢95¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027

Elon Musk is the CEO of Tesla, Inc., a position he has held since October 2008. He co-founded Tesla in 2003 and has been instrumental in its growth into a leading electric vehicle manufacturer. His leadership is central to Tesla's mission to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
BloombergTesla
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.3%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Leader

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027

4.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Elon Musk is no longer CEO of Tesla by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
BloombergTesla
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors could lead to Elon Musk stepping down as Tesla CEO?

Factors may include personal decisions, company performance, or external pressures such as regulatory challenges. Additionally, Musk's involvement in other ventures could impact his role at Tesla.

How do prediction markets determine the odds for this event?

Prediction markets analyze real-time trading data and sentiment from participants to establish probabilities. Market fluctuations reflect changes in public perception and news related to Tesla and Musk.

What implications would Musk's departure have for Tesla?

Musk's exit could lead to shifts in corporate strategy and investor confidence. It may also affect Tesla's innovation trajectory and competitive positioning in the automotive industry.

What does the Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027 odds?

The latest available prices are Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027: 5.0¢ on Kalshi, 3.7¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Will the SAVE Act become law?

View

NM-02 House winner?

View

Bulgaria Presidential Election

View

Who will win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

View

PsychoFace vs. mellren

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds