About This Market
Traders give Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027 about a 2.4% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.2 percentage points.
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Traders give Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027 about a 2.4% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.2 percentage points.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Elon Musk is no longer CEO of Tesla by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Factors may include personal decisions, company performance, or external pressures such as regulatory challenges. Additionally, Musk's involvement in other ventures could impact his role at Tesla.
Prediction markets analyze real-time trading data and sentiment from participants to establish probabilities. Market fluctuations reflect changes in public perception and news related to Tesla and Musk.
Musk's exit could lead to shifts in corporate strategy and investor confidence. It may also affect Tesla's innovation trajectory and competitive positioning in the automotive industry.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027: 2.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.3¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.