Traders give Arsenal about a 93.8% chance. Brighton follows at 33.3%, Liverpool follows at 33.3%, and Manchester City follows at 24.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 8.8 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: EPL Top 2 Finishers
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Tottenham is a top 2 finisher in the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 2 (positions 1 through 2) of the final standings of the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie for the final top-2 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by the Premier League as finishing in the top 2 of the final standings.
If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
When does the EPL season that affects this market begin?
The 2026-2027 English Premier League season begins in August 2026. The season will conclude in May 2027, determining the final standings.
What factors influence the odds in this market?
Odds are influenced by team performance, including wins, losses, and draws throughout the season. Player injuries, transfers, and managerial changes also impact market movements.
How is the market resolved?
The market resolves based on the final top two teams in the English Premier League standings. Official league results will determine the outcome on June 14, 2027.
What does the EPL Top 2 Finishers prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest EPL Top 2 Finishers odds?
The latest available prices are Arsenal: 93.5¢ on Kalshi, 94.0¢ on Polymarket; Brighton: 34.0¢ on Kalshi, 32.7¢ on Polymarket; Liverpool: 34.5¢ on Kalshi, 32.0¢ on Polymarket; Manchester City: 26.0¢ on Kalshi, 22.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.