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Live prediction market odds for Erling Haaland: Next Club. Compare prices across Kalshi.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Erling Haaland: Next Club

Listed Oct 12, 2026 · Updated Oct 22, 2026 · Expected to settle by Sep 1, 2027

Best price · tap to trade

Manchester City43¢2.33xKalshiBarcelona12¢8.33xKalshiReal Madrid11¢9.09xKalshi
Compare all 16 outcomes across 1 venue

About This Market

Traders give Manchester City about a 42.5% chance. Barcelona follows at 11.5%, Real Madrid follows at 10.5%, and Arsenal follows at 4.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give Manchester City about a 42.5% chance. Barcelona follows at 11.5%, Real Madrid follows at 10.5%, and Arsenal follows at 4.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Kalshi is tracking the next club for Erling Haaland, with resolution set for September 8, 2027. The market resolves based on which club he officially signs with before this date, influenced by transfer negotiations and performance in the upcoming seasons.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
MC
Manchester City
single venue43%
Kalshi43¢
Kalshi2.33x43¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
42.5%42¢43¢57¢58¢
B
Barcelona
single venue12%
Kalshi12¢
Kalshi8.33x12¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
11.5%11¢12¢88¢89¢
RM
Real Madrid
single venue11%
Kalshi11¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
10.5%10¢11¢89¢90¢
A
Arsenal
single venue5%
Kalshi5¢
Kalshi20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
P
PSG
single venue5%
Kalshi5¢
Kalshi20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
KalshiKalshi

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates16
Volume$15K
Leader

Manchester City

42.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Erling Haaland: Next Club

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Erling Haaland's next club is Tottenham before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland signs a contract to join Tottenham, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Erling Haaland signs with a club and is immediately loaned out, the signing club resolves to Yes and all others resolve to No. The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland is loaned to Tottenham (temporary transfer of registration). If Erling Haaland is currently signed to Tottenham, the market resolves to Yes if re-signs or extends his contract with Tottenham, or remains with the club without transferring. The market resolves to Yes if an official agreement is announced for Erling Haaland to join Tottenham at a future date (e.g., a pre-contract or transfer effective in a future window). If Erling Haaland's current contract expires and they have not signed with any club, then all markets resolve to No Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the resolution of this market?

The market resolves when Erling Haaland officially signs with a new club before September 8, 2027. Any announcements or transfer agreements will influence the odds leading up to this date.

How do transfer negotiations affect the market?

Transfer negotiations can lead to fluctuations in odds as clubs express interest or make offers. Media reports and player performance can also impact market perceptions.

What happens if Haaland does not sign with a new club by the deadline?

If Erling Haaland remains with his current club or does not sign with any club by September 8, 2027, the market will resolve based on that outcome. The lack of a transfer will lead to a specific resolution based on the established rules.

What does the Erling Haaland: Next Club prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Erling Haaland: Next Club odds?

The latest available prices are Manchester City: 42.5¢ on Kalshi; Barcelona: 11.5¢ on Kalshi; Real Madrid: 10.5¢ on Kalshi; Arsenal: 4.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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