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Live prediction market odds for FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

2027-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

Javokhir Sindarov71¢1.41xKalshiGukesh Dommaraju30¢3.33xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Javokhir Sindarov about a 70.8% chance. Gukesh Dommaraju follows at 28.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Traders give Javokhir Sindarov about a 70.8% chance. Gukesh Dommaraju follows at 28.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner market. The championship is scheduled to conclude on January 1, 2027, with the winner determined by the final match results between the competing players.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JS
Javokhir Sindarov
71%
Kalshi71¢
Polymarket73¢
Kalshi1.41x71¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
69.0%69¢71¢29¢31¢
PolymarketPolymarket
72.5%72¢73¢27¢28¢
GD
Gukesh Dommaraju
28%
Kalshi30¢
Polymarket29¢
Kalshi3.33x30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
28.0%28¢30¢70¢72¢
PolymarketPolymarket
28.0%28¢29¢71¢72¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Javokhir Sindarov

Javokhir Sindarov is a 20-year-old Uzbekistani chess Grandmaster and member of Team Vitality. He became the youngest-ever winner of the FIDE World Cup in 2025 and secured a record-breaking victory at the 2026 Candidates Tournament. His exceptional performance and rapid rise in the chess world make him a formidable contender for the World Chess Championship.

About Gukesh Dommaraju

Gukesh Dommaraju is the reigning World Chess Champion, having secured the title in December 2024. He became a grandmaster at 12 years, 7 months, and 17 days old, making him the third-youngest in history. His exceptional skills and rapid rise in the chess world have established him as a formidable competitor.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Javokhir Sindarov

70.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Gukesh Dommaraju wins the World Chess Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

When does the FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 take place?

The championship is set to conclude on January 1, 2027. Matches leading up to the final will occur in the months prior.

How is the winner of the championship determined?

The winner is determined by the results of the final match between the competing players. The player with the most points at the end of the match wins.

What platforms are tracking the championship winner market?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner market. They provide real-time odds based on player performances.

What does the FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Javokhir Sindarov: 69.0¢ on Kalshi, 72.5¢ on Polymarket; Gukesh Dommaraju: 28.0¢ on Kalshi, 28.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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