Live prediction market odds for Gas prices in the US in Aug 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-08-31
This market resolved on 2026-08-31. Above 2.50 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Gas prices in the US for August 2026 are being tracked on Kalshi.
Gas prices in the US for August 2026 are being tracked on Kalshi. Fluctuations in global oil supply, geopolitical tensions, and domestic demand will heavily influence pricing trends leading up to this date.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Above 2.50WINNER | 99% |
Above 2.60 | 99% |
Above 2.70 | 99% |
Above 2.80 | 99% |
Above 2.90 | 99% |
Above 3.00 | 99% |
Above 3.10 | 99% |
Above 3.20 | 99% |
Above 3.30 | 99% |
Above 3.40 | 99% |
Above 3.50 | 99% |
Above 3.60 | 99% |
Above 3.70 | 99% |
Above 3.80 | 99% |
Above 3.90 | 99% |
Above 4.00 | 99% |
Above 4.10 | 1% |
Above 4.20 | 1% |
Above 4.30 | 1% |
Above 4.40 | 1% |
Above 4.50 | 1% |
Above 4.60 | 1% |
Above 4.70 | 1% |
Above 4.80 | 1% |
Above 4.90 | 1% |
Above 5.00 | 1% |
Above 2.50
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Aug 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Global oil supply dynamics, geopolitical events, and seasonal demand patterns are key influences. Additionally, domestic production levels and government policies may also play a role.
Prediction markets aggregate participant insights and expectations about future events, translating them into odds. Prices reflect collective beliefs about future gas price movements based on available information.
August typically marks the end of the summer driving season in the US, which can affect demand. Seasonal trends and historical data often show variations in pricing during this period.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Above 2.50: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 2.60: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 2.70: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 2.80: 99.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
