Live prediction market odds for Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 7, 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Resolved 2026-08-07
This market resolved on 2026-08-07. 90° to 91° was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the highest temperature in Miami on August 7, 2026.
Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the highest temperature in Miami on August 7, 2026. This event is significant as it reflects climate trends and can influence local policies on heat management and public health initiatives.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
90° to 91°WINNER | 99% | 99% |
86° to 87° | 1% | 1% |
88° to 89° | 1% | 1% |
85° or below | 1% | — |
90° to 91°
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for August 07, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 86°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
Polymarket USWill the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport (KMIA) in Miami for 2026-08-07 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be less than or equal to 85F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.
Predictions are influenced by historical weather patterns, climate models, and seasonal forecasts. Additionally, local geographical features and urban heat effects can play a role.
Odds are determined by the collective insights and bets placed by participants in the market. As new weather data and forecasts emerge, these odds can fluctuate significantly.
Tracking temperature extremes in Miami provides insights into climate change impacts in urban areas. It also helps in assessing preparedness for heat-related health risks and infrastructure challenges.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are 90° to 91°: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; 86° to 87°: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US; 88° to 89°: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US; 85° or below: 1.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
