Live prediction market odds for How many launches will SpaceX have in August?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-09-07
This market resolved on 2026-09-07. Above 10 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi is tracking the number of launches SpaceX will conduct in August.
Kalshi is tracking the number of launches SpaceX will conduct in August. This event is significant as it reflects SpaceX's operational capacity and impacts the broader aerospace industry and satellite deployment schedules.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Above 10WINNER | 99% |
Above 11 | 99% |
Above 12 | 99% |
Above 13 | 1% |
Above 14 | 1% |
Above 15 | 1% |
Above 16 | 1% |
Above 17 | 1% |
Above 18 | 1% |
Above 10
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SpaceX has more than 10 launches in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Launch schedules are affected by technical readiness, regulatory approvals, and weather conditions. Additionally, mission priorities and payload availability can also impact the frequency of launches.
SpaceX has consistently increased its launch frequency over the years, driven by growing demand for satellite deployments and commercial missions. Historical data can provide insights into trends and expectations for upcoming months.
SpaceX's launches play a crucial role in advancing space technology and reducing costs for satellite access. Their success can influence market competition and innovation within the aerospace sector.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Above 10: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 11: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 12: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 13: 1.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
