About This Market
Wilson Leite vs.
Wilson Leite vs. Mateus Alves: ITF Men's World Tennis Tour match held on 2026-09-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi and Polymarket on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Wilson Leite vs. Mateus Alves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

ITF Men·Resolved 2026-09-26
This market resolved on 2026-09-26. Mateus Alves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
Wilson Leite vs.
Wilson Leite vs. Mateus Alves: ITF Men's World Tennis Tour match held on 2026-09-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi and Polymarket on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Mateus AlvesWINNER | 83% | 89% | 100% |
Wilson Leite | 14% | 11% | 0% |
Mateus Alves
90.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Mateus Alves vs Wilson Leite ITF match scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to $0.50. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to $0.50. Outcome sourced from ITF.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Mateus Alves: 83.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 89.0¢ on Polymarket US; Wilson Leite: 14.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 11.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 16.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Mateus Alves at 90.6¢ implies about a 90.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.