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PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for Ella McDonald vs. Tatjana Maria. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Ella McDonald vs. Tatjana Maria

ITF Women·2026-10-04

Best price · tap to trade

Tatjana Maria81¢1.23xKalshiElla McDonald20¢5.00xKalshi
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Tatjana Maria about a 80.8% chance. Ella McDonald follows at 19.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Tatjana Maria about a 80.8% chance. Ella McDonald follows at 19.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Ella McDonald vs. Tatjana Maria: ITF Women's World Tennis Tour match scheduled for 2026-10-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi and Polymarket on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
TM
Tatjana Maria
81%
Kalshi81¢
Polymarket US81¢
Polymarket82¢
Kalshi1.23x81¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
80.0%80¢81¢19¢20¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
81.0%80¢81¢19¢20¢
PolymarketPolymarket
81.5%81¢82¢18¢19¢
EM
Ella McDonald
19%
Kalshi20¢
Polymarket US20¢
Polymarket19¢
Kalshi5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
20.0%19¢20¢80¢81¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
19.0%19¢20¢80¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarket
18.5%18¢19¢81¢82¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Tatjana Maria

80.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Ella McDonald vs. Tatjana Maria

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.

Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Tatjana Maria vs Ella McDonald ITF match scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to $0.50. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to $0.50. Outcome sourced from ITF.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Ella McDonald vs. Tatjana Maria prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Ella McDonald vs. Tatjana Maria odds?

The latest available prices are Tatjana Maria: 80.0¢ on Kalshi, 81.5¢ on Polymarket, 81.0¢ on Polymarket US; Ella McDonald: 20.0¢ on Kalshi, 18.5¢ on Polymarket, 19.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Ella McDonald vs. Tatjana Maria odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Ella McDonald vs. Tatjana Maria prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tatjana Maria at 80.8¢ implies about a 80.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Tatjana Maria

Smart Money Consensus$201
$201Tatjana Maria
Smart Traders Split1
1Tatjana Maria
KalshiBuy Yes at 81¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Tatjana Maria$201 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow