About This Market
Traders give Justin Gaethje about a 88.7% chance. Arman Tsarukyan follows at 8.8%, Ilia Topuria follows at 1.1%, and Paddy Pimblett follows at 0.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.3 percentage points.
Traders give Justin Gaethje about a 88.7% chance. Arman Tsarukyan follows at 8.8%, Ilia Topuria follows at 1.1%, and Paddy Pimblett follows at 0.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.3 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the UFC Lightweight championship outcome for the end of 2026. The dynamics of fighter performances, injuries, and match outcomes will heavily influence the championship landscape leading up to this date.


