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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Machida Zelvia Wins: Machida Zelvia vs. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

J.League·Resolved 2026-08-15

This market resolved on 2026-08-15. Machida Zelvia was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Machida Z wins the United Chiba vs Machida Z professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the United Chiba vs Machida Z professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 15, 2026 If FC Machida Zelvia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Machida Zelvia vs. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Machida Zelvia vs. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba odds?

The last available prices are Machida Zelvia: 92.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Draw: 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 19.0¢ on Polymarket; JEF United Ichihara-Chiba: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Machida Zelvia vs. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 13.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Machida Zelvia vs. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba prediction market payouts work?

For example, Machida Zelvia at 96.2¢ implies about a 96.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Candidate
Machida ZelviaWINNER	93%	100%
Draw	6%	19%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba	1%	0%

Machida Zelvia Wins: Machida Zelvia vs. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

Machida Zelvia Wins: Machida Zelvia vs. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Machida Zelvia Wins: Machida Zelvia vs. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

Machida Zelvia Wins: Machida Zelvia vs. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Machida Zelvia vs. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

Frequently Asked Questions

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